The Run-Up to the 2025 Philippine Elections: Divided Alliances and Political Showdowns

The forthcoming 2025 elections in the Philippines have brought to light signs of internal discord within the administration coalition, potentially leading to a showdown between President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte. Despite their official alliance, fractures within their partnership have become increasingly evident, setting the stage for a fiercely contested midterm election.

Although President Marcos and Vice President Duterte have publicly displayed solidarity, internal conflict within their respective camps has given rise to the perception of a proxy war between the two influential political figures. Contentious events and decisions leading to this divide encompass the allocation of governmental positions, contested policy stances, and public criticisms from both sides.

President Marcos has unmistakably geared up for the 2025 election, with his party, the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP), actively engaging in recruitment and forging alliances with other major political blocs in preparation for the impending polls. The backing of other influential parties, such as Lakas-CMD and other coalition members, is crucial in solidifying his position as the incumbent leader and garnering necessary support for his administration’s senatorial slate in the upcoming election.

Meanwhile, Vice President Duterte’s strategies and alliances remain undecided. With her widespread popularity and strong influence in Mindanao, she poses as a formidable contender in the impending election. The prospect of her regional party, Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP), potentially joining the administration coalition is being cautiously weighed, leaving room for potential collaboration.

Former President Duterte and his family continue to wield significant political influence, fueling speculations about their forthcoming involvement in the upcoming election. Despite statements distancing themselves from politics, their continued presence and the allegiance of their political supporters cannot be overlooked.

In stark contrast to the evolving alliances and potential conflicts within the ruling coalition, the opposition party, the Liberal Party, grapples with internal challenges. With a diminished presence in Congress and the looming impact of a “hostile political climate” on their influence, the party faces an uphill battle in regaining momentum and relevance in the political sphere.

As the stage is set for a high-stakes showdown between the Marcos and Duterte families, the looming question persists: will there exist a viable alternative that can disrupt the traditional political dynamics in the Philippines? With the election less than a year away, the political landscape is poised for a compelling and closely fought battle, presenting Filipinos with a pivotal juncture in shaping the country’s future leadership.


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